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Increasingly as the web is evolving with everyone offering APIs for interoperability, this is a good starting point to start thinking monetization using the API. I agree cutting it off for developers is not going to help twitter. They could goto traditional media companies to build new services upon their API, similar to what Sphere did with NY Times etc.
I think the money in Twitter is in them developing their own client, and offering that via their own website, and compete with the other clients in their platform. I also think they are missing out by not providing an iPhone client. If they can successfully compete as a client, they will have control over advertising, and can make money from that.
They should also look to creating premium features for users that they can charge for. There are lots of features they could still add to the service that I really think people would pay to have.
http://colinwalker.me.uk/2008/07/19/guest-post-...
When eBay introduced their API way back in 2001 it was completely free.
As people started using it more and more, they realized that the organization couldn't sustain the costs of operating the API (hardware, software improvements, and personnel) while it remained free. So they began charging per API call. The initial cost was something like $3.00 US per 1,000 API calls.
For companies like mine (at the time) who were making money from these calls, it wasn't an issue. But the smaller, possibly more innovative users were squeezed out. That, to me, was unfortunate.
In any case, eBay waffled several times on charging and tried a few hybrid schemes. I think at this time, a majority of the API is free, but support costs money. And they have placed usage restrictions on certain calls.
So maybe Twitter can learn from eBay a little?