DISQUS

Glen Campbell · 1 year ago

Wow, this is the best blog post I have ever read in my entire life up to now!

shel Israel · 1 year ago

While I very often agree with you, Louis I disagree with you pretty strongly this time, The Bradley Effect refers to a 1983 incident. In 25 years an entire generation of people with one racial mindset has died off and another has come of voting age. Plus, closer examination of what happened in 1983 shws that the pollsters had not taken into account absentee ballots, which at that point in California history was an overwhelming conservative block. Since then, polls have proven quite accurate in measuring countless elections--or losses of black, women and Hispanic candidates. If there is a Bradley effect in this election why did it not come out in a single primary that we just conducted. Finally, if you lie to pollsters to get them off the phone, you may be in a minority and you do us all a disservice while you are at it.

Louis Gray · 1 year ago

Shel, my hope is that there is no Bradley Effect this year. I think we
all expect a big night for Obama. As for me and my quickly dismissing
pollsters to get them off the phone, I think mine is a minority
position. I'd bet those trying to be evasive usually just hang up.