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During the conventions, and up to and including this weekend, Identi.ca has found out what Twitter already knows: the Jabber chat protocol "firehose" can be a wild stallion, even for a site that is an "increasingly quiet echo chamber". It's the same feature that brought the Fail Whale at Twitter during the primaries in May. It is now disabled at Twitter but for approved vendors such as FriendFeed and Gnip.
You forgot to mention that the number of MicroBlogging networks is growing exponentially.
I was at CNET in San Francisco last Friday with Evan Prodromou and representatives from Twitter, Microsoft, Facebook, Google, Disqus and Seesmic. Evan mentioned that there could be millions of MicroBlogging networks in a few years.
There was a 58% drop in unique visitors to Identi.ca, that's the only service where anyone can take their friends and the site's software and make their home base wherever they want to. That probably affects the site's traffic numbers.
I implemented the very same openmicroblogging protocol myself this summer. The 0.1 version of my Identi.ca-compatible software, OpenMicroBlogger, has been downloaded about 700 times in 3 weeks.
-- Brian
Karma's a bitch.
With me, every day, every where.
The primary reasons why I stick with it is the user base and the number of apps/media channels etc where you can post as well as get your feed. Not just desktop, but mobile as well.
However,
"Twitter has the potential to be the conduit for the SMS and text messaging generation to social media."
This may be a truth of the past. Way to many people I know in the UK, and some other countries, relied on the SMS part. With that shut down, as well as the IM still not restored, the road to glory may be slightly less smooth.
As well, I'm surprised Friendfeed is seeing flat growth given it's still getting a lot of buzz.
Also, we know Compete.com statistics are somewhat suspect, but it's clear, at least to me, that the big user growth at FriendFeed has slowed, while Twitter has renewed. The stats don't have to be right, but I think they do nail the trend.
Via: http://friendfeed.com/e/f0e54170-ba0a-2c91-a96a...
You wrote, “Is it just me or has identi.ca really lost activity lately?”
of the other Laconi.ca instances and do a follow up post to yours.
Great findings though Louis!
In my opinion, Twitter surviving and flourishing is best for the microblogging industry. More and more of my friends are start to come around on Twitter. But if they have to decide between Twitter, Plurk, etc then they are more likely to not try anything at all. One service being the go-to service is best for adoption of the technology
Those people can "Follow" others at of any of the approximately 150-200 federated openmicroblogging services, and a given service could be running Laconi.ca or OpenMicroBlogger software. This is similar to how e-mail, FTP works -- you can choose your software as long as it adheres to the specification.
@nikan -- I agree with you (and Jesse apparently is coming around) -- it's not correct to say that identi.ca is dying without mentioning the freedom its users enjoy.
-- Brian
Yammer to me is the most interesting recent development. I'd love to see those features and stability on the Twitter platform, but I'll run them both side by side for now.
Heard a rumor that Twhirl was going to allow you to manage both from their app.
Twitter still accelerated their growth.
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/summize.com+tw...
The growth of Twitter outpaces the number of Summize
therefore accounting for a good chunk of the service's rise in Web
traffic, is undoubtedly spot on. Thanks for bringing that up, as I,
and everyone else so far, had overlooked that fact.
Of course, if the Summize integration were to account for Twitter's
growth shown here, then it calls the entire premise into doubt, with
the exception of the pronounced decline for the competition.
Great, I've turned into a Twitter commercial...
Many use the beta site instead.
Twitter may of reached the tipping point. I think a combination of factors is coming together for them. The platform seems to be stable now and users are spending time tweeting about events and not Fail Whales. The number of users is growing and exposing even more to the service. And for me the most important part is the users themselves.
Like I said before, I have been able to find users that are knowledgeable and post interesting stuff.
When the Olympics were going on, I found people covering different aspects of the events. Now during the political campaigns, I see posts about issues.