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But hey, hopefully we'll get a boatload of innovation from the Internet this year. Happy new year everyone!
I would add that in terms of delivering news in real-time that citizen journalism and a croudsoursed delivery mechanism will me more closely integrated with main stream news sources.
Services like NowPublic.com will really come to the forefront and start making more of an impact.
vocal extremist minority that despises Obama, and they were worked up
into a froth during the campaign. I am hoping that a mere Web page
manipulation is the worst we could see from their kind in 2009, but
there are a lot of stupid, ill-minded people out there, unfortunately.
As for the SS, they'll know it wasn't me. I'm not interested and not
capable.
2. Wave after wave of phones supporting Android, none of them as good as the iPhone but collectively a better offer for consumers
3. Microsoft buys a major stake in Facebook for very cheap
4. Yahoo fails, Yahoo Japan becomes independent
5. omnipresence of facebook, every platform out there supports Facebook Connect. It's the new Yahoo
6. SAI bought by new york times
Blodget and SAI clearly dislike the NYT and look like they want it to
fail.
also seeing clusterstock and their coverage, it shows that they like money more than they hate the NYT
a whole, we are almost always wrong. Predicting "one more thing" is
where we all fail. Your idea of Jobs showing up there is fun though.
Android will gain traction by undercutting the iphone on function and price. Except to see Android running on low cost hardware. This is where Android will have the edge, following Android down the budget path won't be for Apple.
The drop from $599 for an 8 GB iPhone in June 2007 to $199 8 GB 3G iPhone today (and even $99 refurbished 3Gs being sold by AT&T) should show that Apple isn't going to concede the low-end to other companies. If indeed Apple does release a $99 iPhone nano, it'll be even more clear that Apple is addressing the entire market and not just the high end, taking a page right out of the iPod playbook.
I love the iPhone - but Apple can support only so much innovation. How silly would it be for Apple to release 20 different iPhone versions? I don't think they have the ability or the desire to meet the needs all all users. The fact that Android is open means everyone can innovate - some phones will suck, but many others will rock.
This is the same approach that Microsoft uses with Windows Mobile—license the operating system and let the device guys "innovate." It sounds great in theory, but in practice, it doesn't work so well. Because of the hardware differences between devices, it becomes more difficult to deliver a consistent user experience for Google and its developers. If your game needs an accelerometer but brand X Android device doesn't have one, what are you supposed to do?
Apple won't make 20 different versions of any device and certainly not the iPhone. However, they will create 3 or 4 versions that address 80% of the market, which is working really well for them right now.
For the record, I think Android will gain traction at the expense of Windows Mobile more so than Apple, especially as Android matures.
believe Android will trump iPhone, and from what I've seen, Android is
as much for power users as the iPhone. It's practically the same
target market. Others were excited about my lowball Android
prediction, doing the math to say I'd predicted 9,000,000 units. I'm
glad they did the legwork.
When Apple releases a lower cost, smaller form factor version (the rumored iPhone Nano), it's going to be very difficult for Android or anyone else to gain traction against it.
Apple will do a solid job keeping the iPhone on top here. Google has
never managed a hardware roll-out on this scale. Compared to its
server package, this is a different animal. We'll see if their
partners can make up the difference.
Another was when they acquired InviteShare back in 2007.
http://www.techcrunch.com/2007/07/19/techcrunch...
For them to acquire Silicon Alley Insder or VentureBeat would clearly
be a bigger move, and an unlikely one, but that's all in the fun of
predicting.
Till then, here's my best wishes and Happy new year! Keep rocking as always...
---
Sampad
I was wrong about that. In fact, my track record was pretty bad all
around, so maybe it'll do better this year. Digg has been constantly
rumored to be on the block, and the recent discussion of their low
revenues got me thinking they've got to make a move soon.
Dear Friends,
In calling for change in our time, great scientists are speaking about what could somehow be true to wealthy and powerful people who prefer that the "business as usual" status quo be maintained. Industrial/big business powerbrokers and their bought-and-paid-for politicians want to keep things going along just as they are going now, come what may for the children and coming generations, for life as we know it, for the integrity of Earth and its environs.
Many voices are needed to support "voices in the wilderness" like those of Jim Hansen and John Holdren, exemplary scientists who have been willing to speak truth to those with the power to make the kinds of necessary change that make belief in a good enough future at least a possibility. Assuring a chance of a good future for the children and for life as we know it is an achievable goal that will lead us to overcome the arrogance and avarice of many too many leaders of my "Not So GREAT GREED GRAB Generation" of elders.
If too many leaders of the family of humanity choose to keep doing precisely the things they are advocating and doing now, and if we in the human community keep getting what we are getting now, then it appears a sustainable world for our children cannot be achieved. By so doing, the limited resources of Earth will be permanently dissipated, its biodiversity massively extirpated, its environment irreversibly degraded and life as we know it recklessly endangered. The current gigantic scale and anticipated growth of per-capita overconsumption of limited resources, global production and distribution capabilities, and absolute human population numbers worldwide are simply, clearly and patently unsustainable, even to the year 2050. Given Earth's limitations as a relatively small, evidently finite and noticeably frangible planet, the projected increases in these currently unbridled consumption, production and propagation activities of the human species could soon lead the human family to come face to face with some sort of colossal ecological wreckage.
Now is the time to speak out loudly, clearly and often about what is true for you. Forget about political correctness and convenience. Let go of economic expediency and greediness. Embrace necessary change rather than waste another day preserving the selfish interests of the small group of rich and powerful people, and their many minions, all of whom are adamantly and relentlessly defending an unsustainable, same old "business as usual" status quo.
Steven Earl Salmony
AWAREness Campaign on The Human Population,
established 2001
http://sustainabilityscience.org/content.html?c...
Not sure about the real-time Web yet, though, myself-- although I certainly see its value as a novelty (and if even Facebook is offering a real-time view, it's got to be worth considering), I agree that it'll be difficult to make it useable. We'll see.
Major alternative to FeedBurner, eh? Does ReadBurner have anything planned? Don't know why that comes to mind, probably because the names are so familiar!
Expect too to see the continued rise of very targetted - but highly profitable niche social networks - each (ideally) with iPhone and other apps to enable users to stay very close to their market/profession in real time.
Niche will be a good model for income, reducing the need for revenue to be solely advertising based. IFA Life, for example is a great example of a social network for financial planners around the world. Users can network with each other, share best practice, debate industry issues - and get found by consumers looking for professional advice.
Also, during tougher times, planners can use it to find jobs where needed - and providers of services to them can get very much closer and engage in much more meaninglful dialogue than through traditional social networks.
Much fun to be had.
Philip Calvert
Social Media Sales and Marketing Speaker
I'd just like to respond to the predictions that interest me:
1) The Real-Time Web Will Become Critical for News and Information Discovery
Oh yes :)
2) Businesses Will Be Expected to Be On Social Media If They Have Web Sites
YouTube definitely, and I guess maybe LinkedIn. Not so sure about Facebook/ Twitter/ Friendfeed. I think businesses will be more interested in bringing these sort of services in-house for their own employees.
5) Android Will Have Less than 20% the Sales of iPhone in 2009
An-what? Android has has a bit of a feeble launch despite being hyped up so much. Google might launch its own Android-based device with a setup similar to iPhone with an Android app store etc.
7) FriendFeed and Twitter Will Both Be Independent Through 2009
I think FriendFeed might just wither. Twitter on the other hand may one day be worth more than Facebook. I reckon Microsoft will make a bid for Twitter in the 3rd quarter.
10) eTrade, Digg, StumbleUpon, Skype and Yahoo! Will All Be Sold.
Who would want to buy Digg and StumbleUpon? Something tells me these kind of sites don't really have much of a future.
just killing everybody.